Satellite data, internet traffic, and censorship measurements across 7 countries, updated overnight. Items only appear when something deviates from normal patterns. A sudden internet blackout or satellite-detected heat signature often precedes military action by minutes to hours. If nothing is listed, the world is quiet.
IRAN 5 UKRAINE 3
8 correlations detected
ANALYST SPECULATION — NOT REPORTING.
Every item is open-source intelligence assessment, not confirmed reporting.
Confidence tier and alternative readings shown per item.
See disclaimer and methodology.
SPECULATIONCONF: B
OUTAGEIran — authoritarian state with active internet censorship, sanctions evasion, proxy networks. High OONI + AIS activity typical.CCORRELATED
observation:Cloudflare Radar shows Iran's internet traffic at 09:00 UTC fell to 3% of normal levels (0.0064 vs 0.188 expected), the largest deviation seen in recent weeks. …
analyst reading:Iran internet traffic dropped 97% below normal, indicating most of the country's online services are unavailable.
other readings:Government-ordered connectivity shutdown · Infrastructure failure or maintenance window · DDoS attack or undersea cable cut · Strike disrupting power or comms infrastructure
Cloudflare Radar / OONI·Signal: 9/10·Conf: B
SPECULATIONCONF: B
THERMALIran — authoritarian state with active internet censorship, sanctions evasion, proxy networks. High OONI + AIS activity typical.CCORRELATED
observation:NASA FIRMS detected 13 simultaneous thermal anomalies in a concentrated area of Iran at 335K, well above normal fire range. This cluster pattern is unusual and …
analyst reading:Satellite data shows 13 heat hotspots across Iran, suggesting large-scale fires or explosions over a sustained period.
other readings:Seasonal wildfires or agricultural burning · Industrial facility activity · Coordinated military strikes (if multi-source confirmed)
observation:NASA FIRMS detected 95 thermal anomalies in Ukraine at 367K over the past 24 hours, the highest count in today's batch. This reflects the ongoing intensity of t…
analyst reading:Ukraine shows 95 satellite heat hotspots, indicating widespread, intense fires or explosions across the region.
other readings:Seasonal wildfires or agricultural burning · Industrial facility activity · Coordinated military strikes (if multi-source confirmed)
observation:GPSJAM.org detected interference across 15 hexagonal zones in Ukraine on April 20, with the worst zone showing 33% of aircraft reporting degraded navigation acc…
analyst reading:GPS signals in Ukraine are being disrupted in 15 areas, with some zones causing up to a third of aircraft to lose navigation.
other readings:Routine military exercises or jamming tests · Electronic warfare defensive posture · Accidental interference from ground sources