Shadow War Prediction Track Record

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 6 H3 hexagonal zones over Iran on 2026-04-20. Worst zone: 43% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 13 H3 hexagonal zones over Israel on 2026-04-20. Worst zone: 50% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over Ukraine on 2026-04-20. Worst zone: 33% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 20%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 141 H3 hexagonal zones over Russia on 2026-04-20. Worst zone: 75% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 25 H3 hexagonal zones over China on 2026-04-20. Worst zone: 45% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 20%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 3 H3 hexagonal zones over United States on 2026-04-20. Worst zone: 18% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 15%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

Internet access in Iran is severely disrupted — 60% of tested sites unreachable, 2x the normal level, with 1 confirmed blocks. This level of disruption typically indicates a government-ordered shutdown, often seen before or during military operations or civil unrest.

Iran's internet traffic at 09:00 UTC dropped 97% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0064, expected: 0.188. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 8 H3 hexagonal zones over Iran on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 30% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 20%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over Israel on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 48% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 26%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 24 H3 hexagonal zones over Ukraine on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 24% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 15%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 218 H3 hexagonal zones over Russia on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 88% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over China on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 39% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 23%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 4 H3 hexagonal zones over United States on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 12% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 11%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

Iran's internet traffic at 09:00 UTC dropped 98% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0047, expected: 0.1893. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

Increased internet disruption in Ukraine (12%, normally 5%). 2 sites confirmed blocked. Worth watching — could indicate the start of broader restrictions.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 8 H3 hexagonal zones over Iran on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 30% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 20%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over Israel on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 48% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 26%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 24 H3 hexagonal zones over Ukraine on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 24% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 15%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 218 H3 hexagonal zones over Russia on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 88% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over China on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 39% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 23%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 4 H3 hexagonal zones over United States on 2026-04-17. Worst zone: 12% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 11%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

Iran's internet traffic at 05:00 UTC dropped 90% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0032, expected: 0.031. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over Iran on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 50% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 27%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 28 H3 hexagonal zones over Israel on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 54% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 24%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 29 H3 hexagonal zones over Ukraine on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 40% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 15%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 207 H3 hexagonal zones over Russia on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 80% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 24%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over China on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 40% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 21%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 2 H3 hexagonal zones over United States on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 15% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 13%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

Iran's internet traffic at 09:00 UTC dropped 86% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0251, expected: 0.1766. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

The Wikipedia article "Strait of Hormuz" received 16 edits in the last 24 hours. Normal baseline is 0-5 edits/day. Elevated edit velocity on conflict articles is a reliable canary for major real-world events.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over Iran on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 50% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 27%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 28 H3 hexagonal zones over Israel on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 54% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 24%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 29 H3 hexagonal zones over Ukraine on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 40% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 15%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 207 H3 hexagonal zones over Russia on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 80% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 24%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 15 H3 hexagonal zones over China on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 40% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 21%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 2 H3 hexagonal zones over United States on 2026-04-16. Worst zone: 15% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 13%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

Iran's internet traffic at 09:00 UTC dropped 85% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0261, expected: 0.1736. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

Increased internet disruption in Ukraine (10%, normally 5%). 3 sites confirmed blocked. Worth watching — could indicate the start of broader restrictions.

Internet access in Iran is severely disrupted — 56% of tested sites unreachable, 2x the normal level, with 38 confirmed blocks. This level of disruption typically indicates a government-ordered shutdown, often seen before or during military operations or civil unrest.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 18 H3 hexagonal zones over Iran on 2026-04-13. Worst zone: 37% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 23%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 23 H3 hexagonal zones over Israel on 2026-04-13. Worst zone: 39% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 17 H3 hexagonal zones over Ukraine on 2026-04-13. Worst zone: 33% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 21%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 198 H3 hexagonal zones over Russia on 2026-04-13. Worst zone: 92% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 25%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 10 H3 hexagonal zones over China on 2026-04-13. Worst zone: 41% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 21%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

gpsjam.org detected GPS interference in 2 H3 hexagonal zones over United States on 2026-04-13. Worst zone: 18% of aircraft reported degraded navigation accuracy (average across affected zones: 16%). GPS jamming at this level typically indicates active military assets — convoys, naval vessels, or bases using electronic warfare to protect against drone attacks.

Increased internet disruption in Ukraine (11%, normally 5%). 2 sites confirmed blocked. Worth watching — could indicate the start of broader restrictions.

Internet access in Iran is severely disrupted — 74% of tested sites unreachable, 3x the normal level, with 14 confirmed blocks. This level of disruption typically indicates a government-ordered shutdown, often seen before or during military operations or civil unrest.

Iran's internet traffic at 19:00 UTC dropped 94% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0023, expected: 0.0385. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

Increased internet disruption in Ukraine (11%, normally 5%). 1 sites confirmed blocked. Worth watching — could indicate the start of broader restrictions.

Iran's internet traffic at 19:00 UTC dropped 86% below its normal level for this hour of day (trailing 6-day baseline). Current: 0.0329, expected: 0.2334. Unlike raw-floor detection, this compares to the same time of day so normal nighttime dips don't false-positive — a drop of this size at this hour is genuinely off-pattern.

Iran's internet traffic dropped to 75% below normal and stayed there. Sustained outages suggest physical infrastructure damage or prolonged government shutdown, not a temporary glitch.

Ukraine's internet traffic dropped to 60% below normal and stayed there. Sustained outages suggest physical infrastructure damage or prolonged government shutdown, not a temporary glitch.

Iran's internet traffic fell off a cliff — 77% drop in a single hour. Normal nighttime dips are gradual. A sudden cliff like this usually means someone pulled the plug, either a state-directed shutdown, infrastructure attack, or major network failure.

Iran's internet traffic fell off a cliff — 90% drop in a single hour. Normal nighttime dips are gradual. A sudden cliff like this usually means someone pulled the plug, either a state-directed shutdown, infrastructure attack, or major network failure.

Iran's internet traffic fell off a cliff — 95% drop in a single hour. Normal nighttime dips are gradual. A sudden cliff like this usually means someone pulled the plug, either a state-directed shutdown, infrastructure attack, or major network failure.

The Wikipedia article "Strait of Hormuz" received 18 edits in the last 24 hours. Normal baseline is 0-5 edits/day. Elevated edit velocity on conflict articles is a reliable canary for major real-world events.

Internet censorship in Iran has spiked to 100% — 4x the normal level. This is a near-total crackdown. Governments do this to prevent information from getting out during military operations or civil unrest.

Internet censorship in Taiwan has spiked to 10% — 5x the normal level. This is a near-total crackdown. Governments do this to prevent information from getting out during military operations or civil unrest.

Moderate increase in internet censorship in Ukraine (10%, normally 5%). Something prompted the government to tighten online restrictions. Worth watching for follow-up events.

Significant increase in internet blocking in Israel (9%, normally 3%). The government is blocking more websites and services than usual. This often happens during protests, military escalation, or ahead of political events.

Ukraine's internet traffic dropped to 71% below normal and stayed there. Sustained outages suggest physical infrastructure damage or prolonged government shutdown, not a temporary glitch.

Iran's internet traffic dropped to 92% below normal and stayed there. Sustained outages suggest physical infrastructure damage or prolonged government shutdown, not a temporary glitch.

BGP routing table shows 75 prefixes announced by Information Technology Company (ITC) (AS12880) in Iran. Significant drops from baseline indicate potential route withdrawals or network disruption.

BGP routing table shows 7 prefixes announced by Kyivstar (AS13249) in Ukraine. Significant drops from baseline indicate potential route withdrawals or network disruption.